基于群决策理论的城市再电气化潜力综合评估

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-7229.2019.11.014

电力建设 ›› 2019, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (11): 116-125.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-7229.2019.11.014

• 电力经济研究 • 上一篇

基于群决策理论的城市再电气化潜力综合评估

李昊1 ,李文1 , 王林钰2, 林晶怡1, 刘畅1 , 唐巍3

1. 中国电力科学研究院有限公司，北京市 100192；2. 国网（苏州）城市能源研究院有限责任公司，江苏省苏州市 215163；3. 中国农业大学，北京市 100083

出版日期:2019-11-01
作者简介:李昊（1987），男，工程师，主要从事需求侧管理、区域能源互联网运行及新能源接入等方面的研究工作；李文（1984），男，工程师，主要从事互联网数据架构、用能大数据处理等方面的研究工作; 唐巍（1971），女，教授，博士生导师，主要从事智能配电网规划、运行控制等方面的研究工作。
基金资助:
国家电网公司科技项目（CEGHJS1800002）：基于大数据和人工智能的城市能源系统监测和管理技术及示范应用

Comprehensive Evaluation of Urban Re-electrification Potential Applying Group Decision Theory

LI Hao1，LI Wen1 ，WANG Linyu2，LIN Jingyi1，LIU Chang1，TANG Wei3

1. China Electric Power Research Institute， Beijing 100192， China;2.State Grid (Suzhou) City & Energy Research Institute，Suzhou 215163，Jiangsu Province， China； 3. China Agricultural University， Beijing 100083， China

Online:2019-11-01
Supported by:
This work is supported by State Grid Corporation of China Research Program (No. CEGHJS1800002)： Monitoring and management technology of urban energy system based on big data and artificial intelligence and its demonstration application.

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 文章针对城市再电气化潜力评估涉及面广、影响因素复杂等特征，对基于群决策理论的城市再电气化潜力评估指标和综合评估方法进行了研究。通过研究分析影响城市再电气化潜力的经济、技术、环境、市场、政策等因素，结合城市能源的发展及其再电气化实现途径，从源、网、荷三个角度出发构建了涉及新能源、综合能源系统、需求侧响应等的多层次、多维度城市再电气化潜力评估指标体系，并对指标进行量化分析。针对指标的层次性和多样性，基于群决策理论和属性重要度确定权重。考虑城市再电气化潜力评估指标信息的不完备性和不确定性，采用直觉模糊联系数进行处理。在此基础上，基于组合加权的群决策方法提出城市再电气化潜力的综合评估方法。通过实例仿真分析，验证了所提方法的可行性和有效性。

关键词: 城市再电气化, 潜力评估, 群决策理论, 直觉模糊联系数

Abstract: In view of the characteristics of wide coverage and complex influencing factors of urban re-electrification potential assessment， this paper studies the assessment index of urban re-electrification potential and comprehensive assessment method based on group decision theory. By studying and analyzing the factors such as economy， technology， environment， market and policy that affect the potential of urban re-electrification， and combining with development and application of urban energy and realization approach of its re-electrification， a multi-level and multi-dimensional urban re-electrification potential evaluation index system， which is concerned to new energy， integrated management system， demand side response， etc.， is constructed from the perspectives of source， network and load， and the indicators are quantitatively analyzed. For the hierarchical and diversity of indicators， weights are determined on the basis of group decision theory and attribute importance. Considering the incompleteness and uncertainty of the information of urban re-electrification potential assessment indices， the intuitionistic fuzzy coefficient is used for processing it. On this basis， applying the combined weighted group decision method， a comprehensive evaluation method for urban re-electrification potential assessment is proposed. The feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method are verified by the simulation analysis of an example.

Key words: urban re-electrification, potential assessment, group decision theory, intuitionistic fuzzy coefficient

中图分类号:

李昊,李文, 王林钰, 林晶怡, 刘畅, 唐巍. 基于群决策理论的城市再电气化潜力综合评估[J]. 电力建设, 2019, 40(11): 116-125.

LI Hao，LI Wen，WANG Linyu，LIN Jingyi，LIU Chang，TANG Wei . Comprehensive Evaluation of Urban Re-electrification Potential Applying Group Decision Theory[J]. Electric Power Construction, 2019, 40(11): 116-125.

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基于群决策理论的城市再电气化潜力综合评估

Comprehensive Evaluation of Urban Re-electrification Potential Applying Group Decision Theory

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