• CSCD核心库收录期刊
  • 中文核心期刊
  • 中国科技核心期刊

Electric Power Construction ›› 2018, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (5): 115-.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-7229.2018.05.014

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  Structural Economic Model Based on Electricity  Consumption and Extreme Learning Machine 

 QIU Huadong1, CHEN Yaojun2, LIU Wenxuan3, ZHAO Junhua3,  YAN Yong4, WEN Fushuan5 

 
  

  1.  (1. State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Co., Ltd., Hangzhou 310007, China;2. Zhejiang Creaway Information Technology Company, Hangzhou 310012, China;3. School of Science and Engineering, the Chinese University of Hong Kong (Shenzhen), Shenzhen 518100, China;4. Electric Power Research Institute of State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Co., Ltd., Hangzhou 310009, China;5. School of Electrical Engineering, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310027, China) 
     
  • Online:2018-05-01
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Abstract:  ABSTRACT: Considering the significant correlation between industrial development and electricity consumption, this paper  adopts the well-known extreme learning machine (ELM) to investigate the relationship between electricity consumption and economic development. The paper also examines how to forecast industrial economic growth based on electricity consumption data. Case study results show that: (1) ELM demonstrates higher accuracies in most cases than the linear regression method;(2) statistically, almost all sectors in the secondary industry are highly dependent on the electricity consumption, and their growth rates are nonlinearly and positively correlated with their electricity consumption levels. 

 

Key words:  , KEYWORDS: electricity consumption, secondary industry, extreme learning machine (ELM), economic growth, forecasting  ,

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