• CSCD核心库收录期刊
  • 中文核心期刊
  • 中国科技核心期刊

电力建设 ›› 2013, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (11): 87-90.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-7229.2013.11.017

• 发电技术 • 上一篇    下一篇

光伏发电项目的国民经济评价

金强,史梓男,李敬如,杨露露   

  1. 国网北京经济技术研究院,北京市 100052
  • 出版日期:2013-11-01
  • 作者简介:金强(1980),男,博士,工程师,主要从事配电网系统设计、电网保护、分布式发电并网研究等工作,E-mail:jinqiang@chinasperi.sgcc.com.cn; 史梓男(1978),男,硕士,高工,主要从事配电网系统设计、配电网规划、电网经济性评价等工作; 李敬如(1969),女,硕士,高工,主要从事电网规划、造价分析、电网项目评价、电力市场分析与预测等工作; 杨露露(1969),女,硕士,高工,主要从事配电网系统设计、配电网设备、电网经济性评价等工作。
  • 基金资助:

    国家电网公司科技项目(分布式电源接入系统典型设计研究)。

National Economic Evaluation of Photovoltaic Generation

JIN Qiang, SHI Zinan, LI Jingru, YANG Lulu   

  1. State Power Economic Research Institute, Beijing 100052, China
  • Online:2013-11-01

摘要:

为了促进光伏发电产业的发展,我国颁布了电价补贴等一系列优惠政策,使发电企业实现了盈利,但是这对于国家来说是否是合理的和可持续发展的,需要从国民经济发展的角度进行分析判断。考虑光伏项目的影响因素,针对国民经济成本和收益建立了相应的计算模型,应用国民经济评价方法对光伏发电项目的国民经济性进行了评价,并采用敏感性分析法定量分析了各主要因素对光伏发电项目国民经济性的影响。评价结果表明:目前在我国部分地区光伏发电尚不具备国民经济合理性。最后,对光伏发电的发展时机与发展路线提出了优化建议。

关键词: 光伏发电, 国民经济评价, 成本, 收益, 价格补贴

Abstract:

In order to promote the development of photovoltaic (PV) generation, the government of China has promulgated a series of preferential policies such as price subsidies. Under the current price subsidies policies, PV generation enterprise can realize the profit, but it should consider national economic development to judge whether these subsidies are reasonable and sustainable for the country. Considering various influence factors of PV generation projects, the corresponding calculation model was established for the national economic costs and benefits, the economics of PV generation projects were evaluated by using national economic evaluation methods, and the influence of each main factor on the national economy of PV generation projects was quantitatively analyzed by using sensitivity analysis method. The evaluation results show that at present, the national economy of PV generation in some areas of China is still unreasonable. Finally, this paper proposed some optimization suggestions for the development opportunity and route of PV generation.

Key words: photovoltaic generation, national economic evaluation, cost, income, price subsidy