• CSCD核心库收录期刊
  • 中文核心期刊
  • 中国科技核心期刊

电力建设 ›› 2020, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (8): 68-71.doi: 10.12204/j.issn.1000-7229.2020.08.009

• 电力经济研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

现货市场中基于演化博弈的火电企业阶梯报价策略

赵洱岽1, 王浩2,林弘杨2   

  1. 1.北京理工大学管理与经济学院,北京市100081;2.华北电力大学经济与管理学院,北京市 102206
  • 出版日期:2020-08-07 发布日期:2020-08-07
  • 作者简介:赵洱岽(1975),男,博士,教授,主要研究方向为技术经济、企业管理; 王浩(1994),男,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为技术经济、工业工程; 林弘杨(1992),男,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为技术经济、工业工程。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金面上项目(71673086)

Research on Ladder Bidding Strategy of Thermal Power Enterprises According to Evolutionary Game in Spot Market

ZHAO Erdong1 , WANG Hao2 , LIN Hongyang   

  1. 1. School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081,China; 2. School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206,China
  • Online:2020-08-07 Published:2020-08-07
  • Supported by:
    This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(No. 71673086).

摘要: 火电企业进入电力现货市场是电力体制改革的必然趋势,电量竞价上网、绿证、配额和碳交易等市场机制势必会增加火电企业的竞争压力。为使火电企业更好地适应市场变化,文章依据电力现货市场报价及出清规则,提出了基于改进型遗传算法与演化博弈的阶梯报价策略模型,为火电企业在不同电力市场供需情况下提供辅助决策。通过设置经典算例,模拟不同技术水平和不同规模的火电企业处于标准供需、紧张供需和宽松供需3种供需条件下的报价策略。结果显示,基于演化博弈理论的报价策略在各种情况下都可以辅助企业找到适合当前背景的阶梯报价,并在市场竞争中取得优势,证明了基于演化博弈理论的报价策略具有较强的适用性,可以为火电企业进入现货市场提供有价值的策略参考。

关键词: 火电企业, 电力现货市场, 演化博弈, 阶梯报价 

Abstract:  It is an inevitable trend for thermal power enterprises to enter the power spot market, and market mechanisms such as electricity bidding, green certificates, quotas and carbon trading are bound to increase the competitive pressure of thermal power enterprises. In order to make thermal power enterprises better adapt to market changes, this paper puts forward a ladder bidding strategy model based on improved genetic algorithm and evolutionary game according to the bidding and clearing rules in the spot market of electric power, so as to make auxiliary decision for thermal power enterprises in different power market supply and demand situations. By setting a classic example, we simulated the bidding strategies of thermal power enterprises with different technical levels and sizes under three supply and demand conditions: standard supply and demand, tight supply and demand and loose supply and demand. We found that the bidding strategy based on evolutionary game theory can assist the enterprises to find a ladder quotation suitable for the current background and gain advantages in market competition. It shows that the bidding strategy based on evolutionary game theory has strong applicability, which provides valuable strategic reference for thermal power enterprises to enter the spot market.

Key words:  , thermal power generation enterprise, spot electricity market, evolutionary game, ladder quotation 

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