考虑碳预算与碳循环的能源规划方法及建议

doi:10.12204/j.issn.1000-7229.2021.10.001

电力建设 ›› 2021, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (10): 1-8.doi: 10.12204/j.issn.1000-7229.2021.10.001

• 支撑碳达峰、碳中和的能源电力技术、经济和政策·栏目主持赵俊华副教授、邱靖博士、文福拴教授· • 上一篇下一篇

考虑碳预算与碳循环的能源规划方法及建议

邬炜¹^,², 赵腾¹^,²(), 李隽¹^,², 高艺¹^,², 江涵¹^,², 高超¹^,²

1.全球能源互联网集团有限公司, 北京市 100031
2.全球能源互联网发展合作组织,北京市 100031

收稿日期:2021-05-07 出版日期:2021-10-01 发布日期:2021-09-30
通讯作者: 赵腾 E-mail:teng-zhao@geidco.org
作者简介:邬炜(1977),女,高级工程师,主要研究方向为电力系统规划、可再生能源规划。
李隽(1972),女,教授级高级工程师,主要研究方向为电力系统规划、特高压交直流输电关键技术等。
高艺(1973),女,博士,教授级高级工程师,主要研究方向为电力系统规划、电力系统可靠性分析等。
江涵(1984),男,博士,高级工程师,主要研究方向为电力系统规划、电力系统稳定性分析。
高超(1986),男,博士,高级工程师,主要研究方向为电力系统规划。
基金资助:
全球能源互联网集团有限公司科技项目“考虑大规模多态电能替代负荷接入的电源充裕度量化与规划方法研究”(SGGEIG00JYJS2100033)

Energy Planning Methods and Proposals Considering Carbon Budget and Carbon Cycle

WU Wei¹^,², ZHAO Teng¹^,²(), LI Jun¹^,², GAO Yi¹^,², JIANG Han¹^,², GAO Chao¹^,²

1. Global Energy Interconnection Group Co., Ltd., Beijing 100031, China
2. Global Energy Interconnection Development and Cooperation Organization, Beijing 100031, China

Received:2021-05-07 Online:2021-10-01 Published:2021-09-30
Contact: ZHAO Teng E-mail:teng-zhao@geidco.org
Supported by:
Science and Technology Project of Global Energy Interconnection Group Co., Ltd.(SGGEIG00JYJS2100033)

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

实现碳中和,能源领域碳减排是关键。为研究面向碳中和的能源规划,文章首先分析了碳中和与碳预算之间的关系,之后提出了碳中和目标下考虑碳预算与碳循环的能源规划方法,进而从规划目标、研究范式、碳约束、市场因素等方面与其他能源规划方法进行了对比,最后针对未来能源规划中需要重点关注的能源耦合、碳价设置等问题,提出了相关建议。此方法可为后续面向碳中和的能源规划提供参考。

关键词: 碳中和, 碳预算, 碳循环, 能源规划, 发展情景

Abstract:

Carbon reduction in energy sectors is the key to achieve carbon neutrality. This paper firstly expounds the relationship between carbon neutrality and carbon budget. Secondly, a method of energy planning considering the carbon budget and carbon cycle is put forward under carbon neutrality targets. Then, this method is compared with other energy planning methods in terms of planning objectives, research paradigms, carbon constraints, and market factors. Finally, some proposals for future energy planning, such as coupled gas and power, carbon price setting, etc., are advanced. The methods proposed in this paper can provide references for subsequent energy planning considering carbon neutrality.

Key words: carbon neutrality, carbon budget, carbon cycle, energy planning, development scenarios

中图分类号:

TM61

邬炜, 赵腾, 李隽, 高艺, 江涵, 高超. 考虑碳预算与碳循环的能源规划方法及建议[J]. 电力建设, 2021, 42(10): 1-8.

WU Wei, ZHAO Teng, LI Jun, GAO Yi, JIANG Han, GAO Chao. Energy Planning Methods and Proposals Considering Carbon Budget and Carbon Cycle[J]. ELECTRIC POWER CONSTRUCTION, 2021, 42(10): 1-8.

图/表 6

图1 碳中和与碳预算示意图

Fig.1 Illustration of carbon neutrality and carbon budget

图2 不同碳减排路径对比

Fig.2 Comparison among different decarbonization paths

图3 考虑碳预算与碳循环的能源规划流程

Fig.3 Energy planning process considering carbon budget and carbon cycle

图4 “电力-甲烷”碳循环示意图

Fig.4 Illustration of carbon cycle between electricity and methane systems

表1 本文能源规划方法与其他方法对比

Table 1 Comparison among different energy planning methods

图5 战略三角和能源三角示意图

Fig.5 Illustration of strategic and energy triangles

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考虑碳预算与碳循环的能源规划方法及建议

Energy Planning Methods and Proposals Considering Carbon Budget and Carbon Cycle

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