电力基础资源共享下变电站多业务场景经济—环境—社会效益分析

doi:10.12204/j.issn.1000-7229.2022.04.014

电力建设 ›› 2022, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (4): 130-139.doi: 10.12204/j.issn.1000-7229.2022.04.014

电力基础资源共享下变电站多业务场景经济—环境—社会效益分析

张晨¹(), 韩新阳¹, 边海峰¹, 张若愚²(), 刘平阔²()

1.国网能源研究院有限公司,北京市 102209
2.上海电力大学经济与管理学院,上海市 200090

收稿日期:2021-08-06 出版日期:2022-04-01 发布日期:2022-03-24
作者简介:张晨(1988),女,博士,高级工程师,主要从事能源互联网、电力市场、能源经济研究,E-mail: zhangchenhbdl@163.com;
韩新阳(1972),男,硕士,教授级高级工程师,主要从事电网规划、电力供需研究;
边海峰(1989),男,硕士,工程师,主要从事电力系统、电网规划研究;
张若愚(1996),男,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为能源转型与电力产业发展动力机制、能源经济与管理分析,E-mail: 461059177@qq.com;
刘平阔(1989),男,博士,副教授,主要研究方向为能源转型与电力产业发展动力机制、能源系统优化理论与技术经济决策、能源经济数量模型分析与决策,E-mail: pingoforever@sina.com。
基金资助:
国家电网有限公司科技项目“基于价值网络理论的多站融合业务场景规划与业务体系架构研究”(1400-202057226A-0-0-00)

Economic-Environmental-Social Benefit Analysis of Substation in Multi-service Scenario under Power Basic Resources Sharing

ZHANG Chen¹(), HAN Xinyang¹, BIAN Haifeng¹, ZHANG Ruoyu²(), LIU Pingkuo²()

1. State Grid Energy Research Institute Co., Ltd., Beijing 102209, China
2. College of Economics and Management, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai 200090, China

Received:2021-08-06 Online:2022-04-01 Published:2022-03-24
Supported by:
State Grid Corporation of China Research Program(1400-202057226A-0-0-00)

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

作为“新基建”和“电网数字化”的前沿阵地,“多站融合”充分利用整合资源,融合建设多种新型基础设施,既能响应“互联网+”战略及数字强国建设,又可开拓能源共享互济新业态。文章聚焦电网数字化转型中的多站融合项目,构建了一个在多业务场景下进行经济-环境-社会效益分析的系统动力学模型;并基于多业务场景,模拟仿真不同情境下单个多站融合项目经济效益、环境效益和社会效益的变化趋势。结果表明:1)在经济效益中,不同的业务在一定条件下均能够取得满足预期的经济效益;2)环境效益是多站融合中能源类业务的“引致效应”,可辅助提高废物废气的减排效率;3)社会效益主要体现于土地资源、能源资源和人力资源三方面社会资本的节约。文章证明了该经济-环境-社会效益分析模型的科学性和有效性。

关键词: 多站融合, 经济-环境-社会效益, 系统动力模型, 情境分析

Abstract:

As the forefront of “new infrastructure construction” and “grid digitization”, the “multi-station integration” makes full use of integrated resources to build a variety of new infrastructures. The “multi-station integration” can not only respond to the “Internet Plus” strategy and building China’s strength in digital, but also open up new forms of energy sharing and mutual benefit. This paper focuses on the multi-station integration project in the digital transition of the power grid. And this paper constructs a system dynamics model for economic-environmental-social benefit analysis in multiple business scenarios. This paper simulates the trend of economic, environmental and social benefits under different scenarios. The results show that: 1) In term of economic benefits, different businesses can achieve expected economic benefits under certain conditions; 2) Environmental benefits are the “Induced Effect” of energy operations in multi-station integration. The multi-station integration projects can help improve the efficiency of waste gas emission reduction; 3) Social benefits are mainly embodied in the conservation of three social capital: land resources, energy resources and human resources. It is confirmed that the economic-environmental-social benefit analysis model is scientific and effective.

Key words: multi-station integration project, economic-environmental-social benefit, system dynamics model, scenario analysis

中图分类号:

TM715

张晨, 韩新阳, 边海峰, 张若愚, 刘平阔. 电力基础资源共享下变电站多业务场景经济—环境—社会效益分析[J]. 电力建设, 2022, 43(4): 130-139.

ZHANG Chen, HAN Xinyang, BIAN Haifeng, ZHANG Ruoyu, LIU Pingkuo. Economic-Environmental-Social Benefit Analysis of Substation in Multi-service Scenario under Power Basic Resources Sharing[J]. ELECTRIC POWER CONSTRUCTION, 2022, 43(4): 130-139.

图/表 21

表1 经济效益反馈回路

Table 1 Feedback loop of economic benefit

图1 经济效益因果关系图

Fig.1 The CLD of economic benefit

表2 环境效益子系统反馈回路

Table 2 Feedback loop of environmental benefit

图2 环境效益因果关系图

Fig.2 The CLD of environmental benefit

表3 社会效益子系统反馈回路

Table 3 Feedback loop of social benefit

图3 社会效益因果关系图

Fig.3 The CLD of social benefit

图4 能源类业务存量流量图

Fig.4 The Stock-flow diagram of energy business

图5 信息类业务存量流量图

Fig.5 The stock-flow diagram of information business

图6 租赁类业务存量流量图

Fig.6 The stock-flow diagram of leasing business

图7 成本节约存量流量图

Fig.7 The stock-flow diagram of saving cost

图8 环境效益存量流量图

Fig.8 The stock-flow diagram of environmental benefit

图9 社会效益存量流量图

Fig.9 The stock-flow diagram of social benefit

表4 经济效益系统灵敏性检验

Table 4 Sensitivity test of economic benefit system

表5 环境效益系统灵敏性检验

Table 5 Sensitivity test of environmental benefit system

表6 社会效益系统灵敏性检验

Table 6 Sensitivity test of social benefit system

图10 能源类业务净现值变化趋势

Fig.10 Trends in net present value of energy business

图11 信息类业务净现值变化趋势

Fig.11 Trends in net present value of information business

图12 租赁类业务净现值变化趋势

Fig.12 Trends in net present value of leasing business

图13 节约成本净现值变化趋势

Fig.13 Trends in net present value of saving cost

图14 环境效益变化趋势

Fig.14 Trends in environmental benefit

图15 社会效益变化趋势

Fig.15 Trends in social benefit

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电力基础资源共享下变电站多业务场景经济—环境—社会效益分析

Economic-Environmental-Social Benefit Analysis of Substation in Multi-service Scenario under Power Basic Resources Sharing

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