计及多指标间相互影响的园区综合能源系统规划评价方法

doi:10.12204/j.issn.1000-7229.2022.10.010

电力建设 ›› 2022, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (10): 98-110.doi: 10.12204/j.issn.1000-7229.2022.10.010

计及多指标间相互影响的园区综合能源系统规划评价方法

李志鹏¹(), 王建喜¹(), 周洪伟²(), 宗炫君²(), 孙永辉¹(), 熊俊杰¹()

1.河海大学能源与电气学院,南京市 210098
2.国网江苏省电力有限公司经济技术研究院,南京市 210008

收稿日期:2022-03-10 出版日期:2022-10-01 发布日期:2022-09-29
通讯作者: 李志鹏 E-mail:L619455373@163.com;wjx_em@163.com;13770689702@139.com;204691861@qq.com;sunyonghui168@gmail.com;xiongjunjie_cq@163.com
作者简介:王建喜(1989),男,博士研究生,主要研究方向为综合能源系统建模与优化,E-mail: wjx_em@163.com;
周洪伟(1979),男,硕士,高级工程师,主要从事综合能源系统运行与优化、微电网规划与设计工作,E-mail: 13770689702@139.com;
宗炫君(1992),女,博士研究生,工程师,主要从事综合能源系统建模与仿真、电网规划与设计工作,E-mail: 204691861@qq.com;
孙永辉(1980),男,博士,教授,主要研究方向为综合能源系统规划与研究,E-mail: sunyonghui168@gmail.com;
熊俊杰(1997),男,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为综合能源系统建模与优化,E-mail: xiongjunjie_cq@163.com。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目(62073121)

Evaluation Method for Park-Level Integrated Energy System Planning Considering the Interaction of Multiple Indices

LI Zhipeng¹(), WANG Jianxi¹(), ZHOU Hongwei²(), ZONG Xuanjun²(), SUN Yonghui¹(), XIONG Junjie¹()

1. College of Energy and Electrical Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China
2. Economic Research Institute, State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co., Ltd., Nanjing 210008, China

Received:2022-03-10 Online:2022-10-01 Published:2022-09-29
Contact: LI Zhipeng E-mail:L619455373@163.com;wjx_em@163.com;13770689702@139.com;204691861@qq.com;sunyonghui168@gmail.com;xiongjunjie_cq@163.com
Supported by:
National Natural Science Foundation of China(62073121)

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

目前在对园区综合能源系统规划方案的多指标评价中,通常缺乏考虑指标间的相互影响,致使得到的评价结果不具一般性,甚至存在评价结果不准确的问题。因此,针对园区综合能源系统的规划方案提出考虑指标间相互作用的改进妥协解排序法(multicriteria optimization and compromise solution in English, VIKOR)。首先从经济性、可靠性、环保性与能效性这4个层面建立综合能源系统的评价指标模型,进而构建综合评价体系。然后基于对偶犹豫模糊集与模糊测度的概念,对经典的VIKOR方法做出改进,利用模糊测度对各指标进行赋权,使其在对备选方案进行评价时充分考虑到各评价指标之间的相互作用关系。最后通过算例验证所提评价方法的合理性与客观性。

关键词: 园区综合能源系统, 多指标评价, 改进妥协解排序法, 对偶犹豫模糊集, 模糊测度

Abstract:

At present, the interaction among the indices is usually not considered in the multi-index evaluation of planning schemes for park-level integrated energy system (PIES), which results in the evaluation results are not general, and even have some problems. Therefore, an improved VIKOR method considering the interaction of indices is proposed for the planning schemes of the PIES. Firstly, the evaluation index models of PIES are established from the four aspects of economy, reliability, environmental protection and energy efficiency, and then the comprehensive evaluation system is constructed. Then, on the basis of the conception of the dual hesitant fuzzy set and fuzzy measure, the classical VIKOR method is improved, and each index is weighted by fuzzy measure, so that the interaction between each evaluation index is fully considered when evaluating the planning schemes. Finally, an example is given to verify the rationality and objectivity of the proposed method.

Key words: park-level integrated energy system, multi-index evaluation, improved VIKOR method, dual hesitant fuzzy set, fuzzy measure

中图分类号:

TM73

李志鹏, 王建喜, 周洪伟, 宗炫君, 孙永辉, 熊俊杰. 计及多指标间相互影响的园区综合能源系统规划评价方法[J]. 电力建设, 2022, 43(10): 98-110.

LI Zhipeng, WANG Jianxi, ZHOU Hongwei, ZONG Xuanjun, SUN Yonghui, XIONG Junjie. Evaluation Method for Park-Level Integrated Energy System Planning Considering the Interaction of Multiple Indices[J]. ELECTRIC POWER CONSTRUCTION, 2022, 43(10): 98-110.

图/表 18

图1 园区综合能源系统典型结构

Fig.1 Typical structure of a PIES

表1 污染物的排放质量与评价参数

Table 1 Mass and evaluation parameters of emission

表2 园区综合能源系统的评价指标体系

Table 2 Evaluation index system of the PIES

图2 各园区夏季典型日负荷与光伏预测出力

Fig.2 Typical daily load and photovoltaic forecast output of each park in summer

图3 园区分时电价信息

Fig.3 Time-of-use electricity price of the parks

表3 各指标的对偶犹豫模糊元素形式

Table 3 Dual hesitant fuzzy element form of each index

表4 各指标基于不同方案的权重信息

Table 4 Weight of each index based on different schemes

表5 各方案的S、R和Q计算结果

Table 5 S, R and Q calculation results of each scheme

图4 综合加权距离Q随决策系数 υ的变化曲线

Fig.4 Curve of comprehensive weighted distance Q with decision coefficient υ

表6 各评价方法的评价结果

Table 6 Evaluation results of each evaluation method

表A1 各园区规划周期末的最大负荷

Table A1 Maximum load at the end of planning cycle of each park kW

表A2 能源转换设备参数

Table A2 Parameters of energy conversion equipment

表A3 储能设备参数

Table A3 Parameters of energy storage equipment

表A4 各指标计算结果原始数值

Table A4 The original value of each index calculation result

表A5 各指标计算结果标准化数值

Table A5 Standardized value of each index calculation result

表A6 各指标得分

Table A6 Score of each index

表A7 各指标对应的正理想解与负理想解

Table A7 Positive ideal solution and negative ideal solution corresponding to each index

表A8 各指标在对应方案下与正理想解的距离测度

Table A8 The distance measure between each index and the positive ideal solution under the corresponding scheme

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计及多指标间相互影响的园区综合能源系统规划评价方法

Evaluation Method for Park-Level Integrated Energy System Planning Considering the Interaction of Multiple Indices

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