电碳耦合市场环境下电力系统运行模拟方法

doi:10.12204/j.issn.1000-7229.2023.07.006

电力建设 ›› 2023, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (7): 50-56.doi: 10.12204/j.issn.1000-7229.2023.07.006

电碳耦合市场环境下电力系统运行模拟方法

赵宏兴¹, 肖建平¹, 乔中鹏¹, 冯田丰¹, 刘潇², 郭树森², 王剑晓³()

1.国家能源集团共享服务中心有限公司,北京市 100011
2.北京低碳清洁能源研究院,北京市 102211
3.北京大学大数据分析与应用技术国家工程实验室,北京市 100871

收稿日期:2022-09-23 出版日期:2023-07-01 发布日期:2023-06-25
通讯作者: 王剑晓(1992),男,博士,助理研究员,主要研究方向为新能源电力系统,E-mail:wang-jx@pku.edu.cn。 E-mail:wang-jx@pku.edu.cn
作者简介:赵宏兴(1971),男,高级经济师,主要研究方向为碳市场、碳资产管理;
肖建平(1962),男,高级工程师,主要研究方向为碳市场机制、能源企业双碳转型管理;
乔中鹏(1983),男,高级工程师,主要研究方向为碳市场、碳资产管理;
冯田丰(1978),女,工程师,主要研究方向为碳排放碳交易管理;
刘潇(1982),男,高级工程师,主要研究方向为碳市场、电力市场模型技术开发;
郭树森(1997),男,工程师,主要研究方向为碳市场模型开发
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目(52277092);国家能源集团科技项目“碳市场和电力市场相互作用推演模型技术开发”(ST930022016N)

Study on Power System Operation Simulation Method in Electric-Carbon Coupling Market Environment

ZHAO Hongxing¹, XIAO Jianping¹, QIAO Zhongpeng¹, FENG Tianfeng¹, LIU Xiao², GUO Shusen², WANG Jianxiao³()

1. National Energy Group Shared Service Center Co., Ltd., Beijing 100011, China
2. National Institute of Clean-and-Low-Carbon Energy, Beijing 102211, China
3. National Engineering Laboratory for Big Data Analysis and Applications, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China

Received:2022-09-23 Online:2023-07-01 Published:2023-06-25
Supported by:
National Natural Science Foundation of China(52277092);Science and Technology Project of CHN Energy(ST930022016N)

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

我国碳市场已进入第二履约周期运行,碳市场为火电企业增加碳排放成本项,以市场手段推进电力行业碳减排。文章构建了以火电系统成本优化为目标的电力系统模型,可以模拟碳市场的经济影响,是分析碳市场对系统运行影响的有效工具。采用自下而上编制的全国厂级火电碳清单,考虑全国各省尽量满足风光水核可发电量消纳的源网荷运行平衡,构建计及碳市场成本的全国电力系统模拟模型。模型可模拟得到当前碳配额规则下火电厂碳市场成本的区域分布,可模拟当前碳市场导致系统碳减排的效果。结果表明,当前碳市场强度配额机制可有效鼓励低煤耗火电机组多发,以经济手段推动火电机组组合优化,有效降低系统碳排放强度,促进全国电力系统碳减排。

关键词: 碳市场模型, 火电碳清单, 电力碳减排, 全国电力系统模型

Abstract:

Recently, China's carbon market entered its second compliance cycle. The carbon market increases the carbon emission costs of thermal power enterprises to reduce carbon emissions in the power sector. A power system model aimed at optimizing system costs in the power sector is an effective means of simulating the economic impact of the carbon market. In this study, a national plant-level carbon inventory compiled from bottom up is adopted to develop a model of the national power system with carbon market costs, considering the power grid operation balance of all provinces in China under the condition of satisfying new energy consumption. The model can simulate both the regional distribution of carbon market costs of thermal power plants under the current carbon allowance allocation rules and the effect of the current carbon market, reducing carbon emissions in the system. The results show that the benchmark-based allowance allocation mechanism can effectively encourage low-carbon units to effectively generate more electricity, promote optimize the thermal power unit combination using economic means, reduce the emission intensity of the thermal power sector, and promote carbon emission reduction of the national power system.

Key words: carbon market model, carbon inventory of thermal power, decarbonization of power sector, national power system model

中图分类号:

TM715

赵宏兴, 肖建平, 乔中鹏, 冯田丰, 刘潇, 郭树森, 王剑晓. 电碳耦合市场环境下电力系统运行模拟方法[J]. 电力建设, 2023, 44(7): 50-56.

ZHAO Hongxing, XIAO Jianping, QIAO Zhongpeng, FENG Tianfeng, LIU Xiao, GUO Shusen, WANG Jianxiao. Study on Power System Operation Simulation Method in Electric-Carbon Coupling Market Environment[J]. ELECTRIC POWER CONSTRUCTION, 2023, 44(7): 50-56.

图/表 4

图1 电力系统模型框架

Fig.1 Framework of power system model

表1 算例模拟结果

Table 1 Simulation results

图2 各省份低煤耗段机组的发电量

Fig.2 The power generation of low coal consumption units in different provinces

图3 各省份碳市场成本分布

Fig.3 Regional distribution of carbon market costs

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电碳耦合市场环境下电力系统运行模拟方法

Study on Power System Operation Simulation Method in Electric-Carbon Coupling Market Environment

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