计及风光不确定性与算力灵活性的数据中心两阶段随机优化

鲁浩, 李文博, 蔡继增, 常延朝, 甄九宝, 王成福

电力建设 ›› 2026, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (7) : 14-24.

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PDF(2931 KB)
电力建设 ›› 2026, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (7) : 14-24. DOI: 10.12204/j.issn.1000-7229.2026.07.002
面向算力与电力协同低碳优化关键技术·栏目主持·康重庆、杜尔顺、戴璟、陆海峰、程志江、王永真、丁肇豪、董朝武·

计及风光不确定性与算力灵活性的数据中心两阶段随机优化

作者信息 +

Two-Stage Stochastic Optimization for Data Centers Considering Wind and PV Power Uncertainty and Computational Flexibility

Author information +
文章历史 +

摘要

【目的】 伴随数据中心绿色供能需求的持续攀升,如何有效协调风光不确定性与数据中心算力负荷需求间的匹配性面临严峻挑战。对此,本文提出一种考虑风光不确定性与算力灵活性的数据中心两阶段随机优化调度方法。【方法】 首先,针对风光出力的随机波动与时序耦合特征,构建基于一阶自回归与科列斯基分解的场景生成模型,捕捉风光时序相关性与互补性。其次,考虑延时容忍度差异特性,建立基于离散时间任务流的算力灵活响应模型,通过队列状态方程量化不同时延容忍度业务在时间维度上的迁移能力与积压约束。最后,以系统期望运行成本最小为目标,构建包含算力调度与多能协调的两阶段随机优化模型,决策算力任务的最优时序运行策略。【结果】 算例分析表明,所提策略可有效引导延迟容忍型任务从电价高峰时段向风光资源充裕的电价低谷时段平移,系统期望运行成本较传统刚性调度模式降低了4.1%。【结论】 所提方法能够有效挖掘算力负荷的调节潜力,降低运行成本,实现数据中心经济高效运行。

Abstract

[Objective] The increasing demand for green energy supply in data centers poses a critical challenge in matching the wind and photovoltaic (PV) power uncertainty with computational load requirements. To address this issue, this paper proposes an optimized two-stage stochastic scheduling method to coordinate wind and PV power uncertainty with computational flexibility. [Methods] First, considering the stochastic fluctuations and temporal coupling of wind and PV power outputs, a scenario generation model integrating first-order autoregressive process and Cholesky decomposition is developed to capture the temporal correlations and complementarity between wind and PV power outputs. Second, considering the heterogeneity of delay tolerance, a flexible computational response model is developed based on discrete-time task flows, in which the queue state equations quantify the time-dimensional migration capability and backlog constraints of workloads with different delay tolerances. Finally, in order to minimize the expected system operating cost, a two-stage stochastic optimization model incorporating computational load scheduling and multi-energy coordination is formulated to determine the optimal time-sequential operating strategy for computational tasks. [Results] Numerical case studies demonstrate that the proposed strategy shifts delay-tolerant workloads from peak price periods to off-peak periods with abundant wind and PV power. This coordination reduces the expected system operating cost by 4.1% compared with traditional rigid scheduling approaches. [Conclusions] The proposed method effectively leverages the demand response potential of computational loads to enable cost-effective data center operation.

关键词

数据中心 / 随机优化 / 算力负荷灵活性 / 源荷协同 / 不确定性建模

Key words

data center / stochastic optimization / computational load flexibility / source-load coordination / uncertainty modeling

引用本文

导出引用
鲁浩, 李文博, 蔡继增, . 计及风光不确定性与算力灵活性的数据中心两阶段随机优化[J]. 电力建设. 2026, 47(7): 14-24 https://doi.org/10.12204/j.issn.1000-7229.2026.07.002
LU Hao, LI Wenbo, CAI Jizeng, et al. Two-Stage Stochastic Optimization for Data Centers Considering Wind and PV Power Uncertainty and Computational Flexibility[J]. Electric Power Construction. 2026, 47(7): 14-24 https://doi.org/10.12204/j.issn.1000-7229.2026.07.002
中图分类号: TM732   

附录A

表A1 算例系统相关参数

Table A1 Parameters related to the simulation system

参数 数值 参数 数值
数据中心服务器数量/台 12 500 冰蓄冷蓄冷/释冷效率 0.67/0.9
单台服务器峰值功耗/kW 0.55 风电与光伏初始场景数量/个 5000
单台服务器CPU最大功耗/kW 0.275 光伏预测误差标准差/p.u. 0.15
燃气轮机装机容量/MW 6 风电预测误差标准差/p.u. 0.2
燃气轮机发电效率 0.44 风光出力相关系数 -0.3
燃气轮机产热效率 0.47 天然气价格/(元/m3 2.3
余热锅炉回收效率 0.9 光伏/风电运维成本/(元/kWh) 0.016/0.018
电制冷机能效比 3.5 燃气轮机/余热回收运维成本/(元/kWh) 0.04/0.025
吸收式制冷机能效比 0.7 吸收制冷/电制冷运维成本/(元/kWh) 0.016/0.018
电储能充/放电效率 0.95 电储能/冰蓄冷运维成本/(元/kWh) 0.016/0.018

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脚注

利益冲突声明(Conflict of Interests): 所有作者声明不存在利益冲突。

作者贡献声明(Authors' Contributions): 鲁浩提出研究思路,设计整体技术方案,参与论文框架构建;李文博负责算例系统的参数配置与数据采集,撰写初稿部分内容;蔡继增建立数学模型,编写仿真代码,执行算例分析并完成数据后处理,参与论文写作与修订;常延朝参与模型验证,协助场景生成与削减算法的实现;甄九宝参与文献调研与对比场景设计,协助结果分析;王成福负责论文的最终审阅与定稿。所有作者均阅读并同意了论文终稿内容。

基金

国家自然科学基金面上项目(52377108)

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