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考虑碳排放流和绿证碳交易机制的源荷协同低碳规划
Source-Load Coordinated Low-Carbon Planning Considering Carbon Emission Flow and Green Certificate-Carbon Trading Mechanisms
【目的】在“双碳”目标与新型电力系统建设背景下,高比例新能源并网与低碳减排任务使传统电力系统规划面临碳计量粗放、市场机制与规划决策脱节以及负荷侧低碳引导不足等问题。为实现源网荷多维协同低碳优化,亟需构建能够刻画节点碳责任并计及绿证交易与碳排放权交易机制的电力系统规划方法。本文以区域输电系统为对象,构建计及碳排放流与绿证碳交易双重市场机制的源荷协同双层低碳规划模型。【方法】上层从系统规划者视角出发,将年化投资成本、供应侧运行成本以及碳配额与绿证净交易项统一纳入目标函数,实现电源结构与市场机制的协同优化;基于碳排放流理论建立节点碳势计算模型,刻画碳责任在网络中的时空分布。下层以节点碳势为信号构建差异化需求响应模型,引导负荷在时空维度上进行低碳转移,并通过迭代实现源荷耦合求解。【结果】算例分析结果表明,相较于传统规划,所提协同优化方案使系统年碳排放降低7.40%,系统侧年综合成本降低1.13%,新能源渗透率由51.45%提高至54.98%;负荷在节点碳势引导下呈现高碳时段削减、低碳时段转移的响应特征,负荷侧碳响应评价成本降低5.11%。【结论】绿证与碳交易机制从投资激励与排放约束两方面重塑电源结构,节点碳势信号实现了碳责任由系统层向节点层的精细传导,二者与需求响应机制形成协同作用,可在保障经济性的同时有效提升系统低碳水平。
[Objective] In the context of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals and the ongoing construction of new-type power systems, the high penetration of renewable energy and stringent emission reduction requirements have revealed several critical deficiencies in conventional power system planning, including coarse-grained carbon accounting, poor coordination between market mechanisms and planning decisions, and insufficient low-carbon incentives on the demand side. To achieve coordinated low-carbon optimization across source-grid-load dimensions, it is imperative to develop a planning approach that can characterize nodal carbon responsibility while incorporating both green certificate trading and carbon emission trading mechanisms. Taking a regional transmission system as the research subject, this paper proposes a source-load coordinated bi-level low-carbon planning model that integrates carbon emission flow with the dual market mechanisms of green certificate trading and carbon trading. [Methods] From the perspective of the system planner, the upper-level model incorporates annualized investment costs, supply-side operating costs, and the net trading terms of carbon allowances and green certificates into a unified objective function, thereby coordinating generation expansion decisions with market signals. On the basis of carbon emission flow theory, a nodal carbon potential model is developed to characterize the spatiotemporal distribution of carbon responsibility across the network. The lower-level model formulates a differentiated demand response scheme driven by nodal carbon potential signals, which guides load shifting in both temporal and spatial dimensions toward low-carbon patterns; the source-load coupling is then solved through iterative coordination between the two levels. [Results] Case study results demonstrate that, compared with a conventional planning scheme, the proposed coordinated optimization reduces annual carbon emissions by 7.40% and total annual system cost by 1.13%, while increasing the renewable penetration rate from 51.45% to 54.98%. Under the guidance of nodal carbon potential, load is reduced during high-carbon periods and shifted to low-carbon periods, resulting in a 5.11% decrease in the demand-side carbon response assessment cost. [Conclusions] Green certificate trading and carbon emission trading reshape the power supply structure through investment incentives and emission constraints, respectively, whereas nodal carbon potential signals enable refined allocation of carbon responsibility from the system level to individual nodes. In conjunction with demand response, these mechanisms constitute a synergistic framework that effectively enhances system decarbonization performance while maintaining economic efficiency.
低碳规划 / 碳排放流 / 节点碳势 / 绿证交易 / 需求响应
low-carbon planning / carbon emission flow / nodal carbon potential / green certificate trading / demand response
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发展低碳发电技术及有效参与碳配额市场交易是促进电力低碳转型的关键,借助储能和需求响应等灵活资源,产消者在电能生产和消费上具有更强的平衡能力。基于碳排放流理论提出了一种考虑碳排放需求响应及碳交易的电力系统双层优化调度模型。以配电网的节点碳势作为产消者需求响应的价格因素之一,通过上层配电网与下层产消者之间供/用能信息及电价、碳价信息的交互传递实现配电网优化运行。下层的产消者之间基于运行计划进行碳配额交易,并通过纳什议价方式完成收益确定。算例分析验证了所提模型在控制系统碳排放、促进需求响应积极性等方面的有效性。
The development of low-carbon power generation technologies and effective participation in carbon quota market trading are the keys to promoting low-carbon transformation of electric power, and with the help of flexible resources such as energy storage and demand response, the prosumers have stronger balancing capabilities in electric energy production and consumption. A two-layer optimal scheduling model of the power system considering carbon demand response and carbon trading is proposed based on the carbon flow theory. The node carbon potential of the distribution network is used as one of the price factors for the demand response of producers and consumers, and the optimal operation of the distribution network is realized through the interactive transmission of supply/consumption information as well as electricity price and carbon price information between the upper distribution network and the lower producers and consumers. The lower tier producers and consumers trade carbon allowances based on the operation plan and determine the revenue through the Nash bargaining method. Case simulations verify the effectiveness of the model proposed in this paper in controlling the carbon emissions of the system and promoting the enthusiasm of demand response. |
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唐绪健构建研究框架,提出理论模型并且负责撰写论文;张耀指导理论研究及论文修订;廖龙珠负责文献调研并提供理论支持;孙士超参与论文写作和修改。所有作者均阅读并同意了论文终稿内容。
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