• CSCD核心库收录期刊
  • 中文核心期刊
  • 中国科技核心期刊

电力建设 ›› 2014, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (9): 118-122.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-7229.2014.09.022

• 电力经济研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于切比雪夫不等式的输变电工程造价合理区间的计算方法

张戈力,温卫宁,李培栋,任妍,卢玉,商桑   

  1. 国网北京经济技术研究院,北京市 102209
  • 出版日期:2014-09-01
  • 作者简介:张戈力(1988),男,硕士,工程师,主要从事技术经济、电力经济方面的研究工作, E-mail:gelizhang88@126.com; 温卫宁(1963),男,教授级高级工程师,主要从事电力工程技术经济及管理方面的工作; 李培栋(1978),男,硕士,高级工程师,主要从事技术经济方面的工作; 任妍(1982),女,硕士,工程师,主要从事技术经济方面的工作; 卢玉(1974),女,硕士,高级经济师,主要从事技术经济方面的工作; 商桑(1987),女,硕士,工程师,主要从事技术经济方面的工作。
  • 基金资助:
    国家电网公司科技项目(B3441013K001)。

Reasonable Interval Calculation Method for Power Transmission Project Cost Based on Chebyshev’s Inequality

ZHANG Geli, WEN Weining, LI Peidong, REN Yan, LU Yu, SHANG Sang   

  1. State Power Economic Research Institute, Beijing 102209, China
  • Online:2014-09-01

摘要: 输变电工程造价管理是电力工程建设管理的重要内容,为了在输变电工程建设决策、工程评审中提供一种定量的分析依据,定义包含期间内80%样本工程的区间为造价合理区间。提出了一种基于切比雪夫不等式的区间计算方法,该方法运用的箱线图优化了原始数据,提高了计算可信程度;然后依据切比雪夫不等式确定了寻优迭代计算的初值,利用一维寻优计算的进退法计算得到造价合理区间。计算结果具有一定的数学基础,可为电网工程标准化建设提供可靠的分析依据。

关键词: 电力工程造价, 合理区间, 切比雪夫不等式, 箱线图, 进退法

Abstract: The electric power engineering cost management is an important content of power engineering construction management. In order to provide a quantitative analysis basis of project decision-making and project evaluation, a reasonable project cost interval that included 80% period samples was defined. An interval calculation method based on Chebyshev’s inequality was presented, which optimized the original data with using boxplot, to improve the credible degree of the calculation. The initial value of optimization iteration calculation was given based on Chebyshev’s inequality and the reasonable cost interval was calculated with using a one-dimensional optimization method called advance and retreat method. The calculation results have certain mathematics basis and can provide a reliable basis for the analysis of power grid project standardization construction.

Key words: electric power engineering cost, reasonable interval, Chebyshev’s inequality, boxplot, advance-retreat method