• CSCD核心库收录期刊
  • 中文核心期刊
  • 中国科技核心期刊

电力建设 ›› 2017, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (9): 139-.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-7229.2017.09.020

• 电力经济研究 • 上一篇    

 增量配电业务放开下电网企业投资风险分析

 马倩1,王琛2,李扬2,王喆2,周磊2   

  1.  (1.国网江苏省电力公司,南京市 210024;2.东南大学电气工程学院,南京市 210096)
     
  • 出版日期:2017-09-01
  • 作者简介:马倩(1973),女,硕士,高级工程师,主要从事电网投资管理方面的工作分号 王琛(1992),男,硕士研究生,主要从事配电网规划、电力市场方面的研究工作分号 李扬(1961),男,博士,教授,通信作者,主要从事电力需求侧管理、电力市场方面的研究工作分号 王喆(1988),男,博士研究生,主要从事电力需求侧管理、电力市场方面的研究工作分号 周磊(1989),男,博士研究生,主要从事电力需求侧管理、电力市场方面的研究工作。
  • 基金资助:
     基金项目:江苏省电力公司科技项目(SGTYHT /14-JS-188)
     

 Investment Risk Analysis of Power Grid Enterprises Under Incremental Distribution Businesses Opening

 MA Qian1, WANG Chen2, LI Yang2, WANG Zhe2, ZHOU Lei2

 
  

  1.  (1. State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Company, Nanjing 210024, China;
    2. School of Electrical Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China)
     
  • Online:2017-09-01
  • Supported by:
     

摘要:  摘 要:新电改政策提出了有序放开增量配电业务,鼓励社会资本投资增量配电网,对电网企业传统配电网投资工作带来了诸多影响,具体体现在投资规模、投资重点、投资效益和投资风险等方面。该文分析了新电改给电网企业配电网投资带来的不确定性,为适应此不确定性,降低投资风险,研究了市场环境下电网企业投资增量配电网的风险评估方法,主要考虑了配售一体化运营模式的投资风险,并结合2类典型增量配电试点算例,分场景讨论分析,最后给出了增量配电业务放开下电网企业投资风险分析和对策。

 

关键词:  新电改, 增量配电业务, 增量配电网, 投资风险

Abstract:  ABSTRACT:   The new electricity reform policies proposes that the incremental distribution business should be orderly released and more social capital should be encouraged to invest incremental distribution network, which brings a lot of influences for power grid enterprises on traditional distribution investment, including the scale of investment, the focus of investment, the efficiency of investment and the risk of investment, etc. This paper analyzes the uncertainty on the distribution investment of power grid enterprises caused by new electricity reform policies, and in response to this uncertainty and reduce the investment risk, studies the risk assessment method of incremental distribution network investment of power grid enterprises under power market. This paper mainly considers the investment risk of distribution and sale integration operation mode, discusses and anlyzes two types of typical incremental distribution pilot cases. Finally, this paper proposes the investment risk analysis and countermeasures for power grid enterprises under the opening of the incremental distribution businesses.

 

Key words:   new electricity reform, incremental distribution businesses, incremental distribution network, investment risk

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