北美电网可靠性评估标准发展动态及对我国电网规划的建议

doi:10.12204/j.issn.1000-7229.2022.08.004

电力建设 ›› 2022, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (8): 33-41.doi: 10.12204/j.issn.1000-7229.2022.08.004

• 新型电力系统下配电网规划与运行优化关键技术研究及应用·栏目主持王守相教授、赵倩宇博士· • 上一篇下一篇

北美电网可靠性评估标准发展动态及对我国电网规划的建议

李旭霞¹(), 王秀丽²(), 刘红丽¹(), 李锴英²(), 胡迎迎¹(), 郎青勇²()

1.国网山西省电力公司经济技术研究院,太原市 030021
2.西安交通大学电气工程学院,西安市 710049

收稿日期:2021-12-20 出版日期:2022-08-01 发布日期:2022-07-27
通讯作者: 李锴英 E-mail:lixuxia2021@126.com;xiuliw@xjtu.edu.cn;liuhonglifriend@126.com;lky029@stu.xjtu.edu.cn;luobo_hu@126.com;langyingyong@stu.xjtu.edu.cn
作者简介:李旭霞(1976),女,高级工程师,主要研究方向为输电网规划与新能源消纳,E-mail: lixuxia2021@126.com
王秀丽(1961),女,教授,博士生导师,主要研究方向为电力系统规划、电力市场、电力系统可靠性、新型输电方式,E-mail: xiuliw@xjtu.edu.cn
刘红丽(1988),女,高级工程师,主要研究方向为输电网规划与新能源消纳,E-mail: liuhonglifriend@126.com
胡迎迎(1985),女,高级工程师,主要研究方向为主网架规划,E-mail: luobo_hu@126.com
郎青勇(1998),男,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为电力系统规划、电力市场、电力系统可靠性,E-mail: langyingyong@stu.xjtu.edu.cn。
基金资助:
国网山西省电力公司科技项目(SGSXJY00PSJS2000027)

Reliability Assessment of North American Bulk Power System and Suggestions for Planning of Power Grid in China

LI Xuxia¹(), WANG Xiuli²(), LIU Hongli¹(), LI Kaiying²(), HU Yingying¹(), LANG Qingyong²()

1. Economic and Technological Research Institute, State Grid Shanxi Electric Power Company, Taiyuan 030021, China
2. School of Electrical Engineering, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049, China

Received:2021-12-20 Online:2022-08-01 Published:2022-07-27
Contact: LI Kaiying E-mail:lixuxia2021@126.com;xiuliw@xjtu.edu.cn;liuhonglifriend@126.com;lky029@stu.xjtu.edu.cn;luobo_hu@126.com;langyingyong@stu.xjtu.edu.cn
Supported by:
Research Program of State Grid Shanxi Electric Power Company(SGSXJY00PSJS2000027)

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

近年来随着高比例可再生能源接入电力系统,电力系统运行的可靠性面临越来越严峻的挑战。文章总结了北美电力可靠性公司(North American Electric Reliability Corporation, NERC)所做的针对北美电网长期可靠性评估准则的主要内容及其最新发展,阐述了影响北美电网可靠性的主要因素,在此基础上分析了高比例可再生能源对电网可靠性的影响情况和改进建议。最后,文章结合我国电力系统规划与运行发展情况进行了分析,针对我国在完善电力系统可靠性标准、电力统筹设计与规划、新能源大规模并网消纳等方面提出建议。

关键词: 北美电网, 可靠性评估, 可靠性管理

Abstract:

Reliability of power system is facing severe challenges due to the full accommodation of renewable energy. In this paper, on the basis of the long-term reliability assessment of north American bulk power system, the main factors affecting the reliability of power grid are discussed, and the influence of renewable energy on power system reliability is analyzed. Finally, according to current situation of power system planning and operation in China, suggestions are put forward for improving the reliability standard, integrated design of power grid and full accommodation of renewable energy.

Key words: north American bulk power system, reliability assessment, reliability management.

中图分类号:

TM712

李旭霞, 王秀丽, 刘红丽, 李锴英, 胡迎迎, 郎青勇. 北美电网可靠性评估标准发展动态及对我国电网规划的建议[J]. 电力建设, 2022, 43(8): 33-41.

LI Xuxia, WANG Xiuli, LIU Hongli, LI Kaiying, HU Yingying, LANG Qingyong. Reliability Assessment of North American Bulk Power System and Suggestions for Planning of Power Grid in China[J]. ELECTRIC POWER CONSTRUCTION, 2022, 43(8): 33-41.

图/表 9

图1 北美大电力系统可靠性标准体系

Fig.1 Reliability standards for the bulk power systems of North America

图2 大电力系统风险模型

Fig.2 Risk model for bulk power system

表1 NERC对部分评估区域预期备用裕度评价结果

Table 1 NERC’s risk determination of projected reserve margins in certain areas

图3 2022年部分评估区域备用裕度和电力不足时间

Fig.3 2022 certain area reserve margins and LOLH

图4 2024年部分评估区域备用裕度和电力不足时间

Fig.4 2024 certain area reserve margins and LOLH

图5 2025年北美地区预期峰荷容量结构

Fig.5 North America peak capacity projected through 2025

图6 2012年以来发电装机容量变化和2030年预计退役装机容量

Fig.6 Capacity changes since 2012 and retirements projected through 2030

表2 NERC评估部分区域太阳能与风电装机与峰荷可用容量值

Table 2 BPS Solar and wind generation resources by NERC assessment area

图7 NERC全域分布式光伏装机容量变化

Fig.7 NERC-Wide cumulative distributed PV capacity change

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北美电网可靠性评估标准发展动态及对我国电网规划的建议

Reliability Assessment of North American Bulk Power System and Suggestions for Planning of Power Grid in China

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参考文献 35

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