• CSCD核心库收录期刊
  • 中文核心期刊
  • 中国科技核心期刊

Electric Power Construction ›› 2019, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (11): 106-115.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-7229.2019.11.013

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Bidding Strategy of A Virtual Power Plant Considering Copula Risk Dependence of Electricity and Carbon Prices

YAN Yuan1, LIN Hongji1, WEN Fushuan1, GONG Jianrong2, LI Daoqiang2, CHEN Cheng2   

  1. 1. College of Electrical Engineering, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310027, China;2. Zhejiang Power Exchange Center Company Ltd., Hangzhou 310009, China
  • Online:2019-11-01
  • Supported by:
    carbon market|virtual power plant(VPP)|conditional-value-at-risk(CVaR)|Copula theory|risk dependence| carbon price|electricity price

Abstract: As an emerging market to promote greenhouse gas emission reduction, carbon emissions trading has gradually become a significant factor affecting the profits of generation companies. Carbon emission quotas in the carbon market have typical characteristics of financial products. The fluctuation of carbon price and its interaction with electricity price will inevitably bring risk to the bidding decision of a generation company. Given this background, a virtual power plant (VPP) with thermal power units, distributed generation units, electric vehicles and demand-side resources integrated in the same region is addressed first, and the uncertainties faced by the VPP are measured by the conditional-value-at-risk (CVaR). Then, according to the Copula-CVaR theory, the Copula function is employed to model the joint probability distribution of electricity price and carbon price. With the objective of minimizing the CVaR, a bidding strategy for a virtual power plant considering the risk dependence on the electricity and carbon prices is presented. Finally, a sample system with four scenarios is employed to demonstrate the feasibility and efficiency of the proposed method for characterizing the bidding risk of the VPP.

CLC Number: