Investment Allocation Method Based on Performance Evaluation of Different Levels of Power Grid

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000－7229.2016.12.019

Abstract

Abstract: Considering the performance evaluation of different levels of power grid, this paper studies an investment allocation method. Firstly, we divide power grids into different levels according to their different characteristics, and establish the performance index systems of different levels of power grid. We applied comprehensive evaluation method based on fuzzy mathematics to evaluate the grid performance, and used the logistic curve to fit the relationship between grid performance and cumulative investment. Then, we established the investment allocation model with the minimum variance of the grid performance margin as the target. Finally, the power grid of a province in eastern China was conducted to make validation and analysis as an example, and the investment quota of different levels of power grid during the “13th Five-year plan” period was is given. The results are reasonable and credible, which proves the feasibility of the proposed investment allocation method.

Key words: investment allocation, performance evaluation, different levels of power grid, logistic

CLC Number:

TM 71

GE Liang, XU Qian, CHENG Haozhong, LAN Zhou, LIU Lu. Investment Allocation Method Based on Performance Evaluation of Different Levels of Power Grid

[J]. Electric Power Construction, 2016, 37(12): 143-.

References

［1］胡柏初, 胡刚, 胡朝华，等. 基于灰色预测的电网基建投资测算模型［J］. 电子科技大学学报,2013,42（6）:890-894.

HU Baichu, HU Gang, HU Chaohua, et al. Grid infrastructure investment calculation model based on gray prediction［J］. Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, 2013,42(6): 890-894.

［2］魏子杰. 基于灰色理论的电网投资测算方法研究及软件实现［D］.成都：电子科技大学,2013.

WEI Zijie. Graytheory based research and software implementation of power grid investment measure method［D］. Chengdu: University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, 2013.

［3］赵会茹, 杨璐, 李春杰, 等. 基于协整理论和误差修正模型的电网投资需求预测研究［J］. 电网技术,2011,35（9）:193-198.

ZHAO Huiru, YANG Lu, LI Chunjie, et al. Research on prediction to investment demand of power grid based on co-integration theory and error correction model［J］. Power System Technology, 2011,35(9):193-198.

［4］周盈, 邹波, 文福拴, 等. 针对不同发展阶段的电力网络投资需求分析［J］. 电力系统及其自动化学报,2015,27（8）:8-13.

ZHOU Ying, ZOU Bo, WEN Fushuan, et al. Investigation on power network investment demands at different development stages ［J］. Proceedings of the CSU-EPSA, 2015, 27(8):8-13.

［5］郑琳. 电网建设项目投资优化管理方法与应用［J］. 电力建设,2011,32(1):104-107.

ZHENG Ling, Optimal management method and its application in grid project portfolio ［J］. Electric Power Construction, 2011, 32(1): 104-107.

［6］崔巍, 都秀文, 杨海峰. 供电公司投资规模模型研究［J］. 电力建设,2013,34(8):27-33.

CUI Wei, DU Xiuwen, YANG Haifeng. Investmentscale modle of power supply company ［J］. Electric Power Construction, 2013, 34(8): 27-33.

［7］张富强, 罗慧, 刘梅招,等. 基于基尼系数的电力网络投资分配模型及应用［J］. 电力建设, 2016,37(1):9-14.

ZHANG Fuqiang, LUO Hui, LIU Meizhao,et al. A Gini coefficient based investment allocation model for power networks and its application ［J］. Electric Power Construction, 2016,37(1):9-14.

［8］韩柳, 彭冬, 王智冬, 等. 电网评估指标体系的构建及应用［J］. 电力建设,2010,31(11):28-33.

HAN Liu, PENG Dong, WANG Zhidong, et al. Constitution and application of the index system for power grid assessment ［J］. Electric Power Construction, 2010,31(11):28-33.

［9］梁双,范明天,苏剑. 城市电网性能评价指标框架的研究［J］. 供用电,2009,26(5):8-11,15.

LIANG Shuang, FAN Mingting, SU Jian. Research on theevaluation index framework of urban power network［J］. Distribution & Utilization, 2009,26(5):8-11, 15.

［10］张龙, 曾鸣, 沈红宇,等. 不同电力体制改革背景下国际标杆电网评价体系研究及借鉴［J］. 电力建设,2015,36（11）:148-153.

ZHANG Long, ZENG Ming, SHEN Hongyu, et al. International benchmarking grid assessment systems research and reference under different electricity system reform background［J］. Electric Power Construction, 2015,36(11):148-153.

［11］徐科, 刘明志, 张军,等. 世界一流城市电网评价指标体系［J］. 电力建设,2015,36（11）:51-57.

XU Ke, LIU Mingzhi, ZHANG Jun, et al. Index system for world-class urban power network ［J］. Electric Power Construction, 2015,36(11):51-57.

［12］万卫, 王淳, 程虹, 等. 电网评价指标体系的初步框架［J］. 电力系统保护与控制,2008,36(24):14-18.

WAN Wei, WANG Chun, CHENG Hong, et al. Preliminary frame of index system for evaluating power network ［J］. Power System Protection and Control, 2008,36(24):14-18.

［13］李连结, 姚建刚, 龙立波, 等. 组合赋权法在电能质量模糊综合评价中的应用［J］. 电力系统自动化,2007,31（4）:56-60.

LI Lianjie, YAO Jiangang, LONG Libo, et al. Application of combination weight method in fuzzy synthetic evaluation of power quality［ J］.Automation of Electric Power Systems, 2007,31（4）:56-60.

［14］胡列翔, 徐谦, 张全明,等. 电网发展的阶段论［J］. 浙江电力,2011(12):9-11,73.

HU Liexiang, XU Qian, ZHANG Quanming, et al. On stage of power grid development ［J］. Zhejiang Electric Power, 2011(12):9-11, 73.

［15］徐志奇. 电网投资评价系统模型研究与应用［D］.北京：华北电力大学,2012.

XU Zhiqi. Research andapplication of investment evaluation system model for power grid ［D］. Beijing: North China Electric Power University,2012.

[1]	CHANG Gong, DENG Youjun, YANG Hongming, WEN Fushuan, LAI Mingyong. Power Supply Planning of Electric Vehicles Participating in Logistics Distribution Based on the Battery Charging and Swapping Mode [J]. Electric Power Construction, 2018, 39(6): 7-.
[2]	GUO Yajuan，CHEN Jinming，HE Hongyu， WU Qianhong，HAN Bei，LI Guojie2. A Review on AC/DC Hybrid Microgrid Key Technology Containing Distributed New Energy [J]. Electric Power Construction, 2017, 38(3): 9-.
[3]	ZHANG Fan，LIU Jiefeng, LI Bing，CHEN Gangliang, JI Jie，XU Kangtai. Saturated Load Forecasting Based on Stages Division Theory of Improved Logistic Model [J]. ELECTRIC POWER CONSTRUCTION, 2015, 36(10): 105-110.
[4]	XING Guolei, XUE Tao. Elastoplastic Earthquake Response Analysis of Main Workshop in AP1000 Conventional Island [J]. ELECTRIC POWER CONSTRUCTION, 2014, 35(10): 95-99.