Multi-factor Sensitivity Analysis and Risk Prevention of FNPV in Power Project Investment

PU Pengfei,ZHAO Baohua

Electric Power Construction ›› 2013, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (1) : 88-91.

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PDF(429 KB)
Electric Power Construction ›› 2013, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (1) : 88-91.

Multi-factor Sensitivity Analysis and Risk Prevention of FNPV in Power Project Investment

  • PU Pengfei,ZHAO Baohua
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Abstract

Single factor analysis method has been commonly used for sensitivity analysis in economic decision, which is not completely correspondent with the actual situation, so multi-factor sensitivity analysis is proposed for financial net present value (FNPV). In this paper, sensitivity coefficients and boundary conditions of FNPV to various factors are analyzed firstly, and then the uncertainty of FNPV under multivariate changes is calculated and discussed with specific examples, which could provide references to investment decision and present measures for risk prevention.

Key words

financial net present value (FNPV) / multi-factor sensitivity analysis / investment decision for risk prevention / boundary condition

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PU Pengfei,ZHAO Baohua. Multi-factor Sensitivity Analysis and Risk Prevention of FNPV in Power Project Investment[J]. Electric Power Construction. 2013, 34(1): 88-91

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