PDF(1421 KB)
Second‑level Gust Forecast Based Dynamic Switching Strategy for Wind Turbine Speed‑Reserve Mode
HU Zhangqin, WANG Jingyu, HUANG Sizhe, HUANG Yixiang, SHI Dongyuan, YAO Wei
Electric Power Construction ›› 2026, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (10) : 109-121.
PDF(1421 KB)
PDF(1421 KB)
Second‑level Gust Forecast Based Dynamic Switching Strategy for Wind Turbine Speed‑Reserve Mode
[Objective] High wind penetration reduces system inertia and threatens frequency stability,and the large-scale integration of wind power makes this problem more complex. Gusts are highly fluctuating and random; existing deterministic wind speed prediction methods cannot capture their high-frequency transient features, causing lag and misoperation in rotor speed reserve mode switching and limiting the turbine's transient frequency support capability. To improve frequency regulation,an adaptive switching strategy integrating probabilistic prediction and uncertainty awareness was proposed. [Methods] A second-level gust probabilistic prediction model was built using a denoising diffusion probabilistic model (DDPM)-Transformer architecture, with multi-dimensional turbine state parameters as auxiliary conditions, and Monte Carlo sampling was used to generate probabilistic prediction trajectories. An adaptive switching strategy based on a dynamic confidence corridor was designed, using action and return thresholds as the basis for mode switching. For fuzzy decision scenarios where the confidence corridor crosses the threshold region, the probability of wind speed exceeding the threshold was calculated, and proactive switching between over-speed deloading (OSD) and under-speed deloading (USD) modes was achieved based on the probability threshold. [Results] Simulations based on SCADA data from an offshore wind farm show that the proposed second-level gust probabilistic prediction model outperforms long short-term memory (LSTM) and temporal convolutional network (TCN) models in prediction accuracy. In the adaptive switching strategy, the proposed prediction model advances the average switching point by 3.6 s, significantly improves prediction reliability and response accuracy, and significantly enhances the turbine reserve power margin under gust scenarios. [Conclusions] Through high-confidence probabilistic prediction and uncertainty-aware decision-making, the proposed model and method achieve a shift from passive response to active anticipation for wind turbine speed reserve modes, suppress control misoperations caused by frequent mode switching due to inaccurate gust prediction, maximize transient frequency regulation capability while ensuring turbine safety, and offer a feasible solution for frequency stability control in power systems with high wind penetration.
wind turbine / gust forecasting / denoising diffusion probabilistic model / adaptive switching / uncertainty awareness
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To build the new power system with the main body of new energy, the offshore wind farm (OWF) is an important part and has been rapidly developed in coastal cities. However, the large-scale OWFs also reduce the inertia of power systems, which significantly decreases the anti-disturbance capability of system frequency Therefore, a synthetic inertia control strategy for OWF based on dual phase-locked loops (PLL) was proposed. First, the influence mechanism of PLL on virtual inertia of wind turbine was theoretically analyzed for variable parameter PLL. And the variation rule of wind turbine inertia support capacity and system frequency response characteristics with parameter changing PLL was explored. Then, the double PLL based OWF frequency regulation strategy was proposed through analyzing the negative effect of primary frequency regulation characteristics caused by the variable parameter of PLL. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed frequency regulation strategy was verified though simulations. The results show that the proposed method has significant advantages in frequency response speed and frequency measurement noise suppression. |
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A large number of wind power, photovoltaic and other new energy equipment are connected to the power grid, and the system gradually presents the characteristics of low inertia, which will bring a series of frequency safety problems.Traditional frequency characteristic analysis methods are difficult to accurately grasp the changes in system frequency characteristics after the participation of new energy in inertia support and primary frequency modulation. In order to explore the frequency characteristics and situation changes of the system considering the contribution of wind power-photovoltaic-energy storage to frequency modulation, a new frequency response model is constructed based on the traditional frequency response model and the contribution of wind power-photovoltaic-energy storage to frequency modulation is defined. The frequency characteristic transfer function is used to set the parameters of the system frequency modulation unit. Then the frequency stability index of the power system is quantitatively analyzed, and the influence of the inertia time constant and the control coefficient of each frequency modulation unit on the frequency stability is analyzed from the angle of frequency domain. Finally, the theoretical analysis is verified by MATLAB/Simulink platform. The method of analyzing the frequency characteristics of the new power system from the perspective of time domain and frequency domain can accurately predict the frequency situation of the system considering the contribution degree of wind power-photovoltaic-energy storage frequency modulation, and provide guidance for the safe operation of the new power system frequency considering the inertia support of wind power-photovoltaic-energy storage and primary frequency modulation. |
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风电的大规模并网给电力系统带来了惯量降低和一次调频能力不足等问题,可减载运行且具备调频功能的风电场可有效应对该问题。为此,提出了一种风电场减载方案以及相应的一次调频策略。首先,介绍了综合惯性控制和桨距角控制的原理,并分析了风电场减载运行的必要性。然后,研究了不同风速下风机减载能力的差异性并制定了风电场内减载功率分配方案,根据制定的减载方案,提出了相应的一次调频策略,以充分利用风电场的调频能力并避免频率的二次跌落。最后,基于Matlab/Simulink搭建了仿真系统模型,仿真结果表明所述减载方案和调频策略可以合理分配减载功率并提升风电场的调频效果。
The large-scale wind power integration brings some problems such as the reduction of inertia and the shortage of primary frequency-regulation capability to the power system. Wind farms with deloading operation and frequency-regulation function could effectively deal with these problems. Therefore, a deloading scheme and the corresponding primary frequency regulation strategy of wind farm are proposed. Firstly, the principle of integrated inertia control and pitch-angle control is introduced, and the necessity of deloading operation of wind farm is analyzed. Then the difference of deloading capability of wind turbines with different wind speeds is studied and the deloading power distribution scheme of wind farm is formulated. Furthermore, according to the deloading power distribution scheme, the corresponding primary frequency regulation strategy is proposed to make full use of the frequency regulation capability of wind farm and avoid the secondary frequency drop. The simulation system model is built based on Matlab/Simulink, and the simulation results show that the deloading scheme and frequency regulation strategy could reasonably distribute the deloading power and improve the frequency regulation effect of wind farm. |
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利益冲突声明(Conflict of Interests): 所有作者声明不存在利益冲突。
作者贡献声明(Authors' Contributions): 胡张勤和王镜毓提出研究方向,设计论文框架;黄思哲和黄轶翔设计研究思路,实施研究过程;胡张勤、王镜毓、石东源、姚伟参与了论文写作和修订。所有作者均阅读并同意了论文终稿内容。
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