LI Jun,GAO Yi,SONG Fulong
This paper described the practical application of risk evaluation techniques in transmission network planning projects, and analyzed the static risk of engineering examples, such as the construction sequence of transmission channel, power grid reinforcement planning, the effect of a transmission project on grid risk level, etc. Based on the established static optimal control model and method, the risk level of construction sequences schemes for Jin, San, Meng energy base power transfer channels was evaluated, as well as the reliability parameters change of the key lines in channels, and the impact of various transfer capacities on the system risk level. Taking a 500 kV grid in Central China as example, this paper quantitated the risk level of planning scheme, found out the weakness of grid, judged the necessity of strengthening grid from the perspective of risk reduction, and clarified the investment direction of power grid construction. Taking 1000 kV loop network in the Eastern China Power Grid as example, quantitative analysis was carried out on the impact of single transmission project commissioning on the static risk level of power grid.